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Crown Green Handicap

Alan Davies

Team: Carr MillDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

689

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

5

Wins

8

Losses

38%

Win Rate

7.4

Avg Win Margin

9.5

Avg Loss Margin

4-2

Home Record

1-6

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+15 Rising
12 Apr19 Jul9 Aug23 Aug30 May11 Jul16 Apr-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.4
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.5
score-0.25→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
739
score-0.54→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.232
Sample Size Confidence
10%(13/41 matches)
Rating930 → shrunk 993→ adjusted 689
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W8L13 matches·38.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2022Division 383537.5%
Carr Mill B2023–2024Division 3, Division 252340%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
4/16/2024Keith WalshH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Malcolm HeyesH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Peter JaundrillA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Mark WakefieldH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Jim RennisonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Ray IllingA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Colin BurrowsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Terry JonesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022Ken ByromA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/2/2022B MurphyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022Andrew ValentineH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022Mike SmithA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Ken EvansA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLLWLLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Keith Walsh101100%4/16/2024
Malcolm Heyes0110%8/8/2023
Peter Jaundrill0110%7/11/2023
Mark Wakefield0110%6/6/2023
Jim Rennison101100%5/30/2023
Ray Illing0110%8/30/2022
Colin Burrows0110%8/23/2022
Terry Jones101100%8/16/2022
Ken Byrom0110%8/9/2022
B Murphy101100%8/2/2022
Biggest Win
Keith Walsh (+12)4/16/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Jaundrill (-17)7/11/2023
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 29%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
73913 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-838% win rate

By Division

Division 34-5 (44%)
Division 21-3 (25%)
Division 225%
1W·3L·4 played
Division 344.4%
4W·5L·9 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Apr 16, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

4.3 (13 total)

Seasons

202220232024